Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T07:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-12 07:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 07:35 UTC
Open price
$62,983.32
Close price
$63,030.38

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 62983.320000 and closed at 63030.380000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 12 · 07:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 07:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 07:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 06:30 ↓ 06:45 ↑ 07:00 ↑ 07:15 ↑ — now 07:30 ↑ 07:45 ↑ 08:00 ↑ 08:15 ↑ 08:30 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 07:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T07:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 07:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
07:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.443 +5.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_ElAm4R7KDW3EFWzxDWZjJOYy
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 07:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-12 07:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.92%
Down 47.08%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63460.9460 sigma=225.0848 z=-2.1347 p_up=0.5292

Commitment hash
b1b2edd77c58784470646df6d5eaf100ee0c9b7e53e60214cb66ced1c774daf1
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
07:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.529 -2.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_dnazAerPwl9PcB0eVb97G5lM
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 07:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-12 07:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.57%
Down 51.43%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.3272 edge=-0.0261 sigma_short=0.001578 sigma_long=0.001852 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4857

Commitment hash
d19ce38af8916d9d9b0a4127242777dbb52aa05dedb50b502969cd2b841848fe
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
07:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.553 -5.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_Gl39jP8konj6svA4oOq1ve6N
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 07:05:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-12 07:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.39%
Down 52.61%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000569 sigma=0.001869 score=-1.3272 p_up=0.4739

Commitment hash
a467eba5ebc38ec89d63cdd6243a0d3b21cf36e8d87d376311f7f1a39652276d