Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T06:45:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 06:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 07:05 UTC
Open price
$64,244.01
Close price
$64,286.10

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 64244.010000 and closed at 64286.100000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 14 · 06:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 06:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 07:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 06:00 ↑ 06:15 ↓ 06:30 ↓ 06:45 ↑ — now 07:00 ↓ 07:15 ↑ 07:30 ↓ 07:45 ↑ 08:00 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 07:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T06:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 07:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
06:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.459 +4.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zq7L80nkoMp4iejnDEjaK1Zl
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 06:35:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 06:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.08%
Down 47.92%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64464.4095 sigma=87.3821 z=-0.8523 p_up=0.5208

Commitment hash
08e34a0201317547b1bc6304a101e218cb764c14ed45ada1c2172ac2fb88ad73
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
06:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.520 -2.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zgjx25nXwLnpHm9PDOd0yZq1
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 06:35:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 06:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.01%
Down 50.99%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.6899 edge=-0.0179 sigma_short=0.001039 sigma_long=0.001163 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4901

Commitment hash
ccbf008004cea3437c43b267fd0106b9b099a785fecc40530d4683ccc298eed9
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
06:35:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.537 -3.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_dnazAerPwl9Pcm5RVb97G5lM
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 06:35:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 06:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.21%
Down 51.79%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000143 sigma=0.000903 score=-0.6899 p_up=0.4821

Commitment hash
227438618d07b078c7518ee96521f4e074ffcc1ad91f6db07bf5f9988d99ea89