Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T09:30:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 09:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 09:50 UTC
Open price
$66,618.00
Close price
$66,701.83

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 66618.000000 and closed at 66701.830000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 16 · 09:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 09:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 09:50 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 08:45 ↑ 09:00 ↓ 09:15 ↓ 09:30 ↑ — now 09:45 ↓ 10:00 ↑ 10:15 ↑ 10:30 ↓ 10:45 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 09:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T09:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 09:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
09:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.445 +5.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_PG178AgpDReXuRkPVeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 09:20:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 09:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.83%
Down 47.17%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000621 sigma=0.001537 score=1.7612 p_up=0.5283

Commitment hash
131fa7bddec511a53739cf51db21b92890c576be49f1021bb0079e2566f88b4d
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
09:20:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.469 +3.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zKd58baJDbpLixNawy92enrk
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 09:20:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 09:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.56%
Down 48.44%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.7612 edge=0.0283 sigma_short=0.001645 sigma_long=0.001848 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5156

Commitment hash
45656625697fd6c0748f7a6b911a24a5ebeeedaa72d95bd246bea02c5ee86aec
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
09:20:02
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.557 -5.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GCqn1wW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 09:20:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 09:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.21%
Down 52.79%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=66300.1045 sigma=277.8141 z=1.6675 p_up=0.4721

Commitment hash
653839501eb1f5c2325a192632c1c61aced542cbb42d82451027977a28324e35