Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T17:45:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 17:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 18:05 UTC
Open price
$65,750.92
Close price
$65,978.79

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 65750.920000 and closed at 65978.790000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.9
Opens
Jun 16 · 17:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 17:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 18:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 17:00 ↑ 17:15 ↓ 17:30 ↑ 17:45 ↑ — now 18:00 ↑ 18:15 ↓ 18:30 ↓ 18:45 ↑ 19:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 18:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T17:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 18:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
17:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.465 +3.5% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_xYnBL4N1wZNysKg6w7kZGzPE
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 17:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 17:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.81%
Down 48.19%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=65915.2705 sigma=241.3054 z=-0.6966 p_up=0.5181

Commitment hash
cbf9e6084893585ebc93563a9ffd1dcad161a3ab84a8eb48bdbf25556070a21a
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
17:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.541 -4.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ZrAQgKBlDJnJHR6zD3j6Wdq1
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 17:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 17:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.99%
Down 52.01%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.2122 edge=-0.0251 sigma_short=0.001146 sigma_long=0.001922 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4799

Commitment hash
8dff69189b898dbb11cebe33e9105d862128a513ec7be2591721e91d2da885c3
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
17:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.552 -5.2% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_W4QmKAe0wx4AS48pwrg8JY5Z
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 17:35:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 17:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.49%
Down 52.51%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000598 sigma=0.002149 score=-1.2122 p_up=0.4749

Commitment hash
acc16c13f229f3c9a6b64c413c8e3bfaaf2ce46367b97419d7421729fa4d630f