Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-08T18:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-08 18:00 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 8 · 19:05 UTC
Open price
$63,549.99
Close price
$63,466.83

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 63549.990000 and closed at 63466.830000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.9
Opens
Jun 8 · 17:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 8 · 18:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 8 · 19:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 15:00 ↓ 16:00 ↓ 17:00 ↑ 18:00 ↓ — now 19:00 ↓ 20:00 ↑ 21:00 ↑ 22:00 ↓ 23:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-08 19:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-08T18:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 8 · 19:05:03 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 8
17:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.469 +3.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_BE2kXa7Qo6ngH94Xoy18Alen
Submitted Jun 8, 2026 · 17:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-08 18:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.43%
Down 51.57%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63249.3555 sigma=488.1963 z=0.5790 p_up=0.4843

Commitment hash
441d0db7f5a5f8350b155e6cb0369dc82b05fe2ee85795a7b98c025a0e7d20e0
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 8
17:35:03
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.539 -3.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_kB1Mx3X5o4zgC4RaV4nQbZN0
Submitted Jun 8, 2026 · 17:35:03 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-08 18:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.93%
Down 48.07%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.1088 edge=0.0241 sigma_short=0.004241 sigma_long=0.005756 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5193

Commitment hash
0a3016cde3e3826b9cf7f3661ffb3bed8429606f4dcac902918cc80a30a3fa94
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 8
17:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.549 -4.9% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_rQLBEm5WoP72HB2LD9za01Y4
Submitted Jun 8, 2026 · 17:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-08 18:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.41%
Down 47.59%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.001473 sigma=0.005791 score=1.1088 p_up=0.5241

Commitment hash
789f359c84f7865aeb3903e583efc0d9178f9038514d753f218f2782b2548e3d