Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-13T08:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 08:00 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 09:05 UTC
Open price
$63,845.99
Close price
$63,806.00

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 63845.990000 and closed at 63806.000000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 13 · 07:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 08:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 09:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 05:00 ↑ 06:00 ↑ 07:00 ↑ 08:00 ↓ — now 09:00 ↓ 10:00 ↑ 11:00 ↑ 12:00 ↑ 13:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 09:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-13T08:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 09:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
07:35:03
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.470 +3.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_BE2kXa7Qo6ngHkQ8oy18Alen
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 07:35:03 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 08:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.47%
Down 51.53%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63631.7760 sigma=185.4325 z=0.5607 p_up=0.4847

Commitment hash
68bf2801175b37321c74762a49a4e1d2b0ac9d8fd3d2e3588630f4933bfa8e87
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
07:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.498 +0.2% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_rQLBEm5WoP72Hk1xD9za01Y4
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 07:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 08:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.92%
Down 50.08%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000025 sigma=0.004068 score=-0.0268 p_up=0.4992

Commitment hash
945870f908bf213575dcab9c558e6177c5aff3f8e0cc803e02955a2f455603c7
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
07:35:03
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.499 +0.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_kB1Mx3X5o4zgC1A9V4nQbZN0
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 07:35:03 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 08:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.94%
Down 50.06%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.0268 edge=-0.0008 sigma_short=0.001822 sigma_long=0.004436 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4994

Commitment hash
b38429fc5a9d4fe6bcf2c87b477af7b0a1f8752747f0f2080cc9c860fb988c94