Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T19:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:00 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 19:20 UTC
Open price
$1,678.53
Close price
$1,678.28

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1678.530000 and closed at 1678.280000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.3
Opens
Jun 13 · 18:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 19:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 19:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 18:15 ↑ 18:30 ↑ 18:45 ↓ 19:00 ↓ — now 19:15 ↓ 19:30 ↑ 19:45 ↓ 20:00 ↓ 20:15 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 19:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T19:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 19:20:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
18:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.449 +5.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_xpn3ZLedwX3YFXdeor79GXqN
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 18:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.38%
Down 52.62%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1678.2900 sigma=2.8119 z=1.3514 p_up=0.4738

Commitment hash
9a31581706ce94f52ee1a3cb1b016da3844f88918cd32d079888c6c380fef9b8
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
18:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.511 -1.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_K0YXjLbzom6xCeL0w3qMl598
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 18:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.57%
Down 49.43%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.3576 edge=0.0103 sigma_short=0.001324 sigma_long=0.001222 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5057

Commitment hash
88bf99c7eb680ea811bcbb675337a695de7f99524be688ab5902113d415ef40c
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
18:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.521 -2.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_L5Xdpj9Zw2Wgu9WzVzBAYvMJ
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 18:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.03%
Down 48.97%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000128 sigma=0.001554 score=0.3576 p_up=0.5103

Commitment hash
5f536e9b8f3f978c4c0c34cb30e7ae2bbf91cfa6cc94ec6207c41a016ebd200a