Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T00:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 00:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 00:35 UTC
Open price
$1,679.68
Close price
$1,680.01

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1679.680000 and closed at 1680.010000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.0
Opens
Jun 14 · 00:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 00:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 00:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 23:30 ↓ 23:45 ↑ 00:00 ↓ 00:15 ↑ — now 00:30 ↑ 00:45 ↓ 01:00 ↑ 01:15 ↑ 01:30 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 00:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T00:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 00:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
00:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.487 +1.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_rQLBEm5WoP72Hk8gD9za01Y4
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 00:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 00:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.66%
Down 49.34%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000091 sigma=0.001762 score=0.2247 p_up=0.5066

Commitment hash
36d2b29bdc17d22b0c26d9f0c8e1c7f433cf5f2151a4fa40526c202dd2111355
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
00:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.495 +0.5% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_kB1Mx3X5o4zgC1EkV4nQbZN0
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 00:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 00:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.23%
Down 49.77%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.2247 edge=0.0066 sigma_short=0.002285 sigma_long=0.001657 w=0.3500 p_up=0.5023

Commitment hash
7098563efcbb74768f6c911e1523b1a3b96960709477835165327df15a8779ed
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
00:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.519 -1.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_BE2kXa7Qo6ngHkvaoy18Alen
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 00:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 00:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.08%
Down 50.92%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1680.0375 sigma=3.5915 z=0.3181 p_up=0.4908

Commitment hash
2f15fd216b7dd7ce10f1ec009463f77b231096267eb262aa26bbda645badf104