Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T03:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 03:30 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 03:50 UTC
Open price
$1,682.70
Close price
$1,680.06

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1682.700000 and closed at 1680.060000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 14 · 03:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 03:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 03:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 02:45 ↑ 03:00 ↓ 03:15 ↑ 03:30 ↓ — now 03:45 ↑ 04:00 ↓ 04:15 ↓ 04:30 ↓ 04:45 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 03:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T03:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 03:50:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
03:20:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.477 +2.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_4BXNaeEbo16gCZBBwkOy0xjq
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 03:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 03:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.84%
Down 51.16%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000083 sigma=0.000892 score=-0.4079 p_up=0.4884

Commitment hash
dcb70bad9a97abd479b47f372efe9305457a073c0462ec54b043b04661943c82
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
03:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.482 +1.8% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_xYnBL4N1wZNysyJQw7kZGzPE
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 03:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 03:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.07%
Down 50.93%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.4079 edge=-0.0116 sigma_short=0.000937 sigma_long=0.001491 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4907

Commitment hash
84f146e288f815d6a4283b81388f704803195e66c469fb59c96c2c9ab2fd0aa3
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
03:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.514 -1.4% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_W4QmKAe0wx4AS5r9wrg8JY5Z
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 03:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-14 03:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.67%
Down 49.33%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1682.5950 sigma=1.9057 z=-0.2283 p_up=0.5067

Commitment hash
a0bacf4bff65869004a053e4b487daa994a7d35e7378e63c342cc3d2d22439cd