Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T10:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 10:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 10:50 UTC
Open price
$1,724.63
Close price
$1,728.18

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1724.630000 and closed at 1728.180000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.7
Opens
Jun 15 · 10:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 10:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 10:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 09:45 ↑ 10:00 ↑ 10:15 ↑ 10:30 ↑ — now 10:45 ↑ 11:00 ↑ 11:15 ↑ 11:30 ↓ 11:45
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 10:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T10:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 10:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
10:20:00
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.491 +0.9% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_A2vnyR7GwK96cy16DZbz3kL6
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 10:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 10:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.46%
Down 49.54%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000056 sigma=0.001582 score=0.1550 p_up=0.5046

Commitment hash
46bde32af6724ab3ddf96313d8628cdcf95f986815837040e05aa0ee6d1c2566
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
10:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.495 +0.5% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ax15qGLZwk7ZHqxRwrO7n9zR
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 10:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 10:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.25%
Down 49.75%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.1550 edge=0.0046 sigma_short=0.001695 sigma_long=0.002011 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5025

Commitment hash
0318fec8afaf8539098d088f2f33d60037bc2aca2a68e82ab66ed5b5915ab11a
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
10:20:00
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.557 -5.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_MLpmeG97DG45SYAMolrWdgjb
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 10:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-15 10:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.24%
Down 52.76%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1719.9425 sigma=1.8833 z=1.5864 p_up=0.4724

Commitment hash
d8d3dddc5d247ffdc0469d1b0a74ac0c61a8d2f62f466c2d61b4fd8cce5ffa24