Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T07:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 07:30 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 07:50 UTC
Open price
$1,772.90
Close price
$1,772.36

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1772.900000 and closed at 1772.360000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
50%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 16 · 07:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 07:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 07:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 06:45 ↑ 07:00 ↓ 07:15 ↑ 07:30 ↓ — now 07:45 ↑ 08:00 ↑ 08:15 ↑ 08:30 ↑ 08:45 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 07:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T07:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 07:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
07:20:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.485 +1.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_0MeQn9qmwgznCOqWoYl4kr65
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 07:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 07:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.23%
Down 50.77%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000113 sigma=0.001862 score=-0.2636 p_up=0.4923

Commitment hash
876d1fb6c229fa9e875dd46d23f8084d571ee2ad47a22938b146cbf7e94dd7b0
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
07:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.488 +1.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_7B6ErGaLD5OgT9JLw5ylJzve
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 07:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 07:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.38%
Down 50.62%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.2636 edge=-0.0077 sigma_short=0.001099 sigma_long=0.002641 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4938

Commitment hash
5b5705cf754e094f06d1db6eeb2d9d0ff3924e5fa610d992aea044b50e32327a
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
07:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.501 -0.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_WzKkexj7we4xS9BMopr9mNPa
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 07:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-16 07:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.07%
Down 49.93%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1769.7905 sigma=6.0238 z=-0.0250 p_up=0.5007

Commitment hash
37ef977b3a59205a7a717d651546a6a1d70537a8a7065c7ca7201d6a23bee04b