Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T00:45:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 00:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 01:05 UTC
Open price
$63,588.01
Close price
$63,600.01

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 63588.010000 and closed at 63600.010000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 13 · 00:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 00:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 01:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 00:00 ↑ 00:15 ↓ 00:30 ↑ 00:45 ↑ — now 01:00 ↑ 01:15 ↓ 01:30 ↑ 01:45 ↑ 02:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 01:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T00:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 01:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
00:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.494 +0.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_05Xg9GbYV9ygTZyeVRELWApQ
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 00:35:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 00:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.32%
Down 49.68%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63536.0235 sigma=56.5452 z=-0.1065 p_up=0.5032

Commitment hash
672d85cab458441ef538b108669f7d94893caa863180d4a3b2561998180404d5
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
00:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.517 -1.7% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_L5Xdpj9Zw2Wgu9m5VzBAYvMJ
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 00:35:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 00:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.15%
Down 50.85%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.3718 edge=-0.0107 sigma_short=0.000904 sigma_long=0.002283 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4915

Commitment hash
2a2b5ed5b857b256b2e07e737ad9139f79605919f4e9b27758b7fab5c82cee50
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
00:35:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.522 -2.2% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_mYpKb1MNDpy4Tr39o7Ak4L2e
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 00:35:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 00:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.93%
Down 51.07%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000092 sigma=0.001073 score=-0.3718 p_up=0.4893

Commitment hash
afd86809fda277ef16aecef7f9107abf0fa6ecc099858a98c1e44b09ddc6c2db