Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T01:45:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 02:05 UTC
Open price
$63,754.92
Close price
$63,837.89

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 63754.920000 and closed at 63837.890000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 13 · 01:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 01:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 02:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 01:00 ↑ 01:15 ↓ 01:30 ↑ 01:45 ↑ — now 02:00 ↓ 02:15 ↓ 02:30 ↓ 02:45 ↑ 03:00 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 02:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T01:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 02:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
01:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.474 +2.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_K0YXjLbzom6xCe3Gw3qMl598
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 01:35:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.3%
Down 48.7%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000109 sigma=0.001024 score=0.4651 p_up=0.5130

Commitment hash
02744fe6ab66a0574cd0034ab1d88aa6eee520cce3f79ec65b49814f05448bac
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
01:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.479 +2.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_26ObeAJmoYqvhB34ojMBk8Xp
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 01:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.04%
Down 48.96%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.4651 edge=0.0130 sigma_short=0.000671 sigma_long=0.001555 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5104

Commitment hash
ff0b39342564a7f92f4d03c65db28a3ea9192126f89308ed799bcd07dc658490
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
01:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.559 -5.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_BzW1LX5PDjz5CJ92DOKAlqGM
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 01:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.16%
Down 52.84%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63541.9000 sigma=61.7977 z=1.8138 p_up=0.4716

Commitment hash
d2275add5526b5b574c20d2212e12b9b242860c0def14d5b826d9db0c99b5f8b