Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T02:30:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 02:30 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 02:50 UTC
Open price
$63,713.43
Close price
$63,624.08

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 63713.430000 and closed at 63624.080000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 13 · 02:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 02:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 02:50 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 01:45 ↑ 02:00 ↓ 02:15 ↓ 02:30 ↓ — now 02:45 ↑ 03:00 ↑ 03:15 ↓ 03:30 ↓ 03:45 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 02:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T02:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 02:50:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
02:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.444 +5.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_ElAm4R7KDW3EFKg7DWZjJOYy
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 02:20:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 02:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.11%
Down 52.89%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63582.6900 sigma=106.5923 z=1.9824 p_up=0.4711

Commitment hash
f0fb10ee9a744be2e49870e36fd1c78948b22d7300c988a01aef13c007d3f878
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
02:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.540 -4.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_0ZYdGLNvozOETOe0w4nX59rO
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 02:20:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 02:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.97%
Down 48.03%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.1599 edge=0.0246 sigma_short=0.000815 sigma_long=0.001104 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5197

Commitment hash
4c8b95baf7117614160e29855f5747203aa6ddfb432178afc847b8f82acb12f8
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
02:20:00
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.550 -5.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_Gl39jP8konj6s7q8oOq1ve6N
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 02:20:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 02:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.46%
Down 47.54%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000235 sigma=0.000882 score=1.1599 p_up=0.5246

Commitment hash
e070428341b53b1c6da4cf6f1413221b900c56677cfe10eb586e02a68e94f326