Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T05:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 05:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 05:35 UTC
Open price
$63,568.59
Close price
$63,552.00

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 63568.590000 and closed at 63552.000000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 13 · 05:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 05:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 05:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 04:30 ↑ 04:45 ↓ 05:00 ↑ 05:15 ↓ — now 05:30 ↑ 05:45 ↑ 06:00 ↓ 06:15 ↑ 06:30 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 05:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T05:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 05:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
05:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.484 +1.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_W4QmKAe0wx4AS5GLwrg8JY5Z
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 05:05:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 05:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.21%
Down 50.79%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000066 sigma=0.001070 score=-0.2701 p_up=0.4921

Commitment hash
636747134286bfd0bbf55c75b731a31e03a376b162042ae20cfb7350e8d5ed4c
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
05:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.491 +0.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ZrAQgKBlDJnJHgKOD3j6Wdq1
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 05:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 05:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.56%
Down 50.44%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.2701 edge=-0.0079 sigma_short=0.001094 sigma_long=0.001056 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4956

Commitment hash
943302c543c514294320bb7a88e54cfb4435364b2ecd47170253d08047920062
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
05:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.550 -5.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_xYnBL4N1wZNysyX5w7kZGzPE
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 05:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 05:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.43%
Down 47.57%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63619.6305 sigma=95.3211 z=-1.1290 p_up=0.5243

Commitment hash
57aa56f21597e7af8280b1d5d69205d2b8c51cacae1562c2e1293e53e7c1679e