Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T07:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 07:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 07:35 UTC
Open price
$63,728.00
Close price
$63,779.09

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 63728.000000 and closed at 63779.090000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+1.2
Opens
Jun 13 · 07:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 07:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 07:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 06:30 ↑ 06:45 ↑ 07:00 ↓ 07:15 ↑ — now 07:30 ↑ 07:45 ↑ 08:00 ↓ 08:15 ↑ 08:30 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 07:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T07:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 07:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
07:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.507 -0.7% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_MLpmeG97DG45Sn1WolrWdgjb
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 07:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 07:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.66%
Down 50.34%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.2119 edge=-0.0063 sigma_short=0.000886 sigma_long=0.001020 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4966

Commitment hash
d7f3e741fae5dac447c98ca298a73f237fc7266b76b737dc54109f79e6744e6e
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
07:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.513 -1.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_zKd58baJDbpLia7vwy92enrk
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 07:05:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 07:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.37%
Down 50.63%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000048 sigma=0.000989 score=-0.2119 p_up=0.4937

Commitment hash
4fc7f1ffc401bf881b73990b40aea05884afc5f050cef3f52b65fb7818a3c38f
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
07:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.557 -5.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_A2vnyR7GwK96cAMnDZbz3kL6
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 07:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 07:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.24%
Down 52.76%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63606.5285 sigma=81.5962 z=1.5835 p_up=0.4724

Commitment hash
fd6b77b975a17625658878815ab711acbd7b4e6fd76152c292c24a15cda0378d