Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T08:30:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 08:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 08:50 UTC
Open price
$63,810.01
Close price
$63,878.02

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 63810.010000 and closed at 63878.020000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.7
Opens
Jun 13 · 08:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 08:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 08:50 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 07:45 ↑ 08:00 ↓ 08:15 ↑ 08:30 ↑ — now 08:45 ↓ 09:00 ↑ 09:15 ↑ 09:30 ↓ 09:45 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 08:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T08:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 08:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
08:20:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.449 +5.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_MLpmeG97DG45SnmWolrWdgjb
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 08:20:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 08:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.64%
Down 47.36%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000232 sigma=0.000733 score=1.3778 p_up=0.5264

Commitment hash
e55f85fea257c9f6a46533c057b006fa0442eab54a35ebaa35b705397b1faa95
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
08:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.459 +4.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_j65YM2E8odpriGp4oPrz3bWe
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 08:20:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 08:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.11%
Down 47.89%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.3778 edge=0.0264 sigma_short=0.000622 sigma_long=0.000926 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5211

Commitment hash
28899c2fb97abab1536e7cf75f32cde81fd4892227565481fbbfea9e0a6aa495
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
08:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.555 -5.5% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_ax15qGLZwk7ZHLgjwrO7n9zR
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 08:20:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 08:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.33%
Down 52.67%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63632.8725 sigma=111.8780 z=1.4223 p_up=0.4733

Commitment hash
e1a66f071d5055ea347ffc114c51ae44b27ac00362997a9cb5510a398cce5cad