Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T09:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 09:35 UTC
Open price
$63,806.00
Close price
$63,815.99

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 63806.000000 and closed at 63815.990000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 13 · 09:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 09:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 09:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 08:30 ↑ 08:45 ↓ 09:00 ↑ 09:15 ↑ — now 09:30 ↓ 09:45 ↓ 10:00 ↑ 10:15 ↑ 10:30 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 09:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T09:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 09:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
09:05:02
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.450 +5.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_l4L0eAk2wAAgTNBewg3aqryB
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 09:05:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.59%
Down 47.41%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000242 sigma=0.000805 score=1.3077 p_up=0.5259

Commitment hash
deb86f5f6cb823aa6b5d9e1154d5a0cc3805e272c128645d16040ce45987c255
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
09:05:03
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.472 +2.8% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_G7zbNOMWVvp7ia5noE9P1vBd
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 09:05:03 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.43%
Down 48.57%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.3077 edge=0.0259 sigma_short=0.000693 sigma_long=0.000898 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5143

Commitment hash
8109cc60f18b9121c509d12885051d5557eafef04851dceaae57ddb0367487b6
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
09:05:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.548 -4.8% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_904kZMgdDE6gCXbRoBnQaqEe
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 09:05:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 09:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.65%
Down 52.35%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63680.1475 sigma=119.5468 z=1.0527 p_up=0.4765

Commitment hash
4f476c2253afaa99f736cae87c61f26d98e5bdae2a562ef8e493f83b1b2caf49