Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T10:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 10:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 10:20 UTC
Open price
$63,743.13
Close price
$63,782.00

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 63743.130000 and closed at 63782.000000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+1.0
Opens
Jun 13 · 09:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 10:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 10:20 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 09:15 ↑ 09:30 ↓ 09:45 ↓ 10:00 ↑ — now 10:15 ↑ 10:30 ↑ 10:45 ↓ 11:00 ↑ 11:15 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 10:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T10:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 10:20:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
09:50:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.445 +5.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GCyOXwW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 09:50:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 10:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.82%
Down 47.18%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000250 sigma=0.000623 score=1.7496 p_up=0.5282

Commitment hash
9d9e429fd9794b91cd4ac71b73fae72bc6a27a6ec93e3c8b9c0b4e3eade3371d
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
09:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.456 +4.4% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_apB6lzPrV3mgtlZMoXAeKd4v
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 09:50:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 10:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.26%
Down 47.74%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.7496 edge=0.0282 sigma_short=0.000654 sigma_long=0.000883 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5226

Commitment hash
80997c7d3d442e9a3f2c96a3cf3c6a0456e48336b71fa72f99cb8baedfcec12e
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
09:50:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.542 -4.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zKd58baJDbpLia8Awy92enrk
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 09:50:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 10:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.93%
Down 52.07%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63718.0020 sigma=113.8984 z=0.8452 p_up=0.4793

Commitment hash
5b48452b7e0c341da5444acc3d510909bd6dd3b7c5a03a555f0681ec66747ecf