Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T10:45:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 10:45 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 11:05 UTC
Open price
$63,854.30
Close price
$63,843.01

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 63854.300000 and closed at 63843.010000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.9
Opens
Jun 13 · 10:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 10:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 11:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 10:00 ↑ 10:15 ↑ 10:30 ↑ 10:45 ↓ — now 11:00 ↑ 11:15 ↑ 11:30 ↓ 11:45 ↑ 12:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 11:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T10:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 11:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
10:35:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.480 +2.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_BzW1LX5PDjz5CJ7kDOKAlqGM
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 10:35:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 10:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.0%
Down 51.0%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63751.7285 sigma=87.5253 z=0.3459 p_up=0.4900

Commitment hash
60fbda3e15466d2527cbc583ac4d30ff03e5b2cb5fd80e720784f6912d626ddc
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
10:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.527 -2.7% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_26ObeAJmoYqvhB97ojMBk8Xp
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 10:35:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 10:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.35%
Down 48.65%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.1483 edge=0.0245 sigma_short=0.000689 sigma_long=0.000875 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5135

Commitment hash
7e10fcd61edbc718f27fa860665d5ec8e50ef2d4acdcec2a16705f1f9db9db5d
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
10:35:00
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.550 -5.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_K0YXjLbzom6xCedjw3qMl598
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 10:35:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 10:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.45%
Down 47.55%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000178 sigma=0.000675 score=1.1483 p_up=0.5245

Commitment hash
c3e7a769e4353c902379e02b603978dcbce68df0d53b7913168bee54a18e26cf