Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T11:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 11:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 11:20 UTC
Open price
$63,843.01
Close price
$63,924.41

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 63843.010000 and closed at 63924.410000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 13 · 10:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 11:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 11:20 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 10:15 ↑ 10:30 ↑ 10:45 ↓ 11:00 ↑ — now 11:15 ↑ 11:30 ↓ 11:45 ↑ 12:00 ↓ 12:15 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 11:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T11:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 11:20:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
10:50:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.449 +5.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_673nmr8ZwrGOh0b1V1ePEqxB
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 10:50:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 11:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.64%
Down 47.36%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000223 sigma=0.000708 score=1.3751 p_up=0.5264

Commitment hash
de6b6f3cd9cf364758f403abd9636ee5c56cad31ce965082af6751db0288e824
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
10:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.471 +2.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GCy7XwW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 10:50:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 11:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.45%
Down 48.55%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.3751 edge=0.0264 sigma_short=0.000729 sigma_long=0.000881 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5145

Commitment hash
af267bf5c5d6f6853645d41fc2be8f19301e5173ff7bb185e1ff2003adc96db7
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
10:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.549 -4.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_PG178AgpDReXuAnOVeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 10:50:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 11:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.58%
Down 52.42%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63766.0960 sigma=79.2032 z=1.1136 p_up=0.4758

Commitment hash
fef6aa005be523e40d765cb05b8141606498a278a560031e2f97605d7d2efdb0