Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T14:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 14:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 14:20 UTC
Open price
$64,102.61
Close price
$64,154.46

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 64102.610000 and closed at 64154.460000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 13 · 13:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 14:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 14:20 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 13:15 ↑ 13:30 ↓ 13:45 ↓ 14:00 ↑ — now 14:15 ↓ 14:30 ↑ 14:45 ↑ 15:00 ↑ 15:15 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 14:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T14:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 14:20:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
13:50:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.447 +5.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_BE2kXa7Qo6ngHkq1oy18Alen
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 13:50:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 14:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.74%
Down 47.26%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000287 sigma=0.000811 score=1.5446 p_up=0.5274

Commitment hash
31e5703e90419a07d5201b653269c07b8d753e1d97a3f96f6f9c51280672db4d
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
13:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.470 +3.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_9EjpnQAKwO3OFE3Yw5zX1eW6
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 13:50:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 14:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.51%
Down 48.49%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.5446 edge=0.0274 sigma_short=0.000904 sigma_long=0.000793 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5151

Commitment hash
770200c07e0be85fec4f4ade095677e3dd0bd440b2f2ce89172985c5d421587c
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
13:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.557 -5.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_kB1Mx3X5o4zgC1Y5V4nQbZN0
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 13:50:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 14:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.23%
Down 52.77%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63929.0745 sigma=141.1662 z=1.6021 p_up=0.4723

Commitment hash
f80b1dda95bda47116430aa5d54797470f940ee741bd26c70ec1f0dd1d957679