Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T15:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 15:35 UTC
Open price
$64,287.30
Close price
$64,295.54

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 64287.300000 and closed at 64295.540000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 13 · 15:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 15:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 15:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 14:30 ↑ 14:45 ↑ 15:00 ↑ 15:15 ↑ — now 15:30 ↓ 15:45 ↑ 16:00 ↓ 16:15 ↓ 16:30 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 15:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T15:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 15:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
15:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.444 +5.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_40Q536YODN09HqWJwRWvqpr8
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 15:05:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.88%
Down 47.12%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000361 sigma=0.000805 score=1.9537 p_up=0.5288

Commitment hash
590375e6a7bf36be0589fd325fdbd34790d5b04fb72a240dea4eff58ac77a777
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
15:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.469 +3.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_W4QmKAe0wx4AS5pBwrg8JY5Z
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 15:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.58%
Down 48.42%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.9537 edge=0.0288 sigma_short=0.000893 sigma_long=0.000740 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5158

Commitment hash
527c7337852ebb7a80d5028abadc1512defe0802dca994849d5336c2675b795b
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
15:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.555 -5.5% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_4BXNaeEbo16gCZ35wkOy0xjq
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 15:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.34%
Down 52.66%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64019.3500 sigma=144.1040 z=1.3991 p_up=0.4734

Commitment hash
2e20b9e4aa07a3e596ed0bf11b002ffec6d526d25eadfa2e988e20038acda38d