Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T15:30:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:30 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 15:50 UTC
Open price
$64,295.55
Close price
$64,242.02

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 64295.550000 and closed at 64242.020000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 13 · 15:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 15:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 15:50 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 14:45 ↑ 15:00 ↑ 15:15 ↑ 15:30 ↓ — now 15:45 ↑ 16:00 ↓ 16:15 ↓ 16:30 ↑ 16:45 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 15:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T15:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 15:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
15:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.446 +5.4% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_mYpKb1MNDpy4TrAqo7Ak4L2e
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 15:20:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.2%
Down 52.8%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64044.6150 sigma=144.5710 z=1.6787 p_up=0.4720

Commitment hash
f436321de6b812022918093e28e8d5466337138c716195dacefd88beca2593d5
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
15:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.533 -3.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_05Xg9GbYV9ygTZklVRELWApQ
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 15:20:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.61%
Down 48.39%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=2.2240 edge=0.0293 sigma_short=0.000905 sigma_long=0.000743 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5161

Commitment hash
df98162664d493ba17c16e467804ff92504b8e22b500c95d547ec79beb07e432
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
15:20:00
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.560 -6.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ZrAQgKBlDJnJHg0LD3j6Wdq1
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 15:20:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.93%
Down 47.07%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000415 sigma=0.000814 score=2.2240 p_up=0.5293

Commitment hash
619d0a5357e1b1f7537eac365a093d1479b44f37ce1d59ca4719c484be62f4b1