Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T15:45:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 16:05 UTC
Open price
$64,242.02
Close price
$64,296.15

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 64242.020000 and closed at 64296.150000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 13 · 15:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 15:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 16:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 15:00 ↑ 15:15 ↑ 15:30 ↓ 15:45 ↑ — now 16:00 ↓ 16:15 ↓ 16:30 ↑ 16:45 ↓ 17:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 16:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T15:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 16:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
15:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.444 +5.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_xpn3ZLedwX3YFXrkor79GXqN
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 15:35:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.89%
Down 47.11%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000362 sigma=0.000798 score=1.9794 p_up=0.5289

Commitment hash
3a4a96a4576c9e0cfac30437bf1404829bc9be65f1449dd2d2b7c8e8d189d3b5
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
15:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.469 +3.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_BzW1LX5PDjz5CJKXDOKAlqGM
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 15:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.59%
Down 48.41%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.9794 edge=0.0289 sigma_short=0.000734 sigma_long=0.000738 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5159

Commitment hash
b9d7355b4be42beb5741ff2d0db895ca91944f0f75cb51052c417c6839368a06
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
15:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.557 -5.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_K0YXjLbzom6xCeYzw3qMl598
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 15:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.24%
Down 52.76%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64070.2920 sigma=141.2136 z=1.5951 p_up=0.4724

Commitment hash
f0e161000fac1f3ae6a6b7d2af4a11f11de0894f3a78e29090e955d5b064d534