Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T17:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 17:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 17:35 UTC
Open price
$63,964.16
Close price
$64,097.99

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 63964.160000 and closed at 64097.990000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+1.1
Opens
Jun 13 · 17:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 17:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 17:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 16:30 ↑ 16:45 ↓ 17:00 ↓ 17:15 ↑ — now 17:30 ↑ 17:45 ↓ 18:00 ↑ 18:15 ↑ 18:30 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 17:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T17:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 17:35:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
17:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.457 +4.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GCyBgwW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 17:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.22%
Down 47.78%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64133.2285 sigma=109.4946 z=-0.9504 p_up=0.5222

Commitment hash
da85b9e15bcad8a8207fe75a2be6fe07fe60dc5be17aa73fb2a494059eed9049
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
17:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.484 +1.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_PG178AgpDReXuAQrVeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 17:05:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.8%
Down 49.2%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000075 sigma=0.001189 score=0.2737 p_up=0.5080

Commitment hash
78537d90b6027bd3c45c350a96abd5ae5e212c93955a4743775a8f043a69ac0f
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
17:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.494 +0.6% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zKd58baJDbpLiaZ2wy92enrk
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 17:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 17:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.28%
Down 49.72%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.2737 edge=0.0080 sigma_short=0.001336 sigma_long=0.000969 w=0.3500 p_up=0.5028

Commitment hash
c5650348594a4c0ff5df6bc1191840f385ee4536787c74e50ddbc88f770ffc03