Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T18:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 18:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 18:35 UTC
Open price
$64,057.06
Close price
$64,194.06

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 64057.060000 and closed at 64194.060000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 13 · 18:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 18:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 18:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 17:30 ↑ 17:45 ↓ 18:00 ↑ 18:15 ↑ — now 18:30 ↑ 18:45 ↓ 19:00 ↑ 19:15 ↓ 19:30 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 18:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T18:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 18:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
18:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.446 +5.4% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_k1qjB4eXVy9jc49bVnpWL3gm
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 18:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 18:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.79%
Down 47.21%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64138.9950 sigma=101.8089 z=-1.6482 p_up=0.5279

Commitment hash
36ed5af07c770d7a5a3067f55d0af92434b6fb95d2ca8d92f3fb51e943aace22
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
18:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.511 -1.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ag9d6j7EwBNgsjyjwJAQ5kqR
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 18:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 18:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.46%
Down 50.54%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.5630 edge=-0.0153 sigma_short=0.001529 sigma_long=0.001079 w=0.3500 p_up=0.4946

Commitment hash
343152baac8c6e1ec4da3358462e613b3d27067a7e443f083bfa8efdfae51f15
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
18:05:00
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.531 -3.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_26ObeAJmoYqvhBjGojMBk8Xp
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 18:05:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 18:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.47%
Down 51.53%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000165 sigma=0.001279 score=-0.5630 p_up=0.4847

Commitment hash
7fd3ff62198e86055a1b578c8b35105ab6661d00cbc25c86419238ade61926d4