Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T19:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 19:35 UTC
Open price
$64,204.48
Close price
$64,193.94

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 64204.480000 and closed at 64193.940000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
50%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 13 · 19:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 19:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 19:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 18:30 ↑ 18:45 ↓ 19:00 ↑ 19:15 ↓ — now 19:30 ↑ 19:45 ↑ 20:00 ↓ 20:15 ↓ 20:30 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 19:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T19:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 19:35:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
19:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.488 +1.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_ag9d6j7EwBNgsj1jwJAQ5kqR
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 19:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.4%
Down 50.6%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64139.8910 sigma=105.4962 z=0.2045 p_up=0.4940

Commitment hash
e39365eb6be146839ef8b7f09f068a48f45b2fd32323a6adb92d68309f3e934d
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
19:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.500 0.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_dnazAerPwl9PcmkpVb97G5lM
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 19:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.02%
Down 49.98%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.0176 edge=0.0005 sigma_short=0.001454 sigma_long=0.001150 w=0.3500 p_up=0.5002

Commitment hash
7f14be02c62ad4e57d457394c3f8a8fedb8dcf1afa6c4634a5a625ca977a38aa
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
19:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.501 -0.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_k1qjB4eXVy9jc4JbVnpWL3gm
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 19:05:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.05%
Down 49.95%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000006 sigma=0.001420 score=0.0176 p_up=0.5005

Commitment hash
919bc6b898550b29943649ea5864ad91e139aad4e19a2d41e96115b64b97fc40