Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T20:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 20:00 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 20:20 UTC
Open price
$64,296.59
Close price
$64,274.63

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 64296.590000 and closed at 64274.630000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 13 · 19:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 20:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 20:20 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 19:15 ↓ 19:30 ↑ 19:45 ↑ 20:00 ↓ — now 20:15 ↓ 20:30 ↑ 20:45 ↑ 21:00 ↓ 21:15 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 20:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T20:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 20:20:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
19:50:05
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.450 +5.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_26ObeAJmoYqvhBW5ojMBk8Xp
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 19:50:05 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 20:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.45%
Down 52.55%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64150.9960 sigma=111.3893 z=1.2560 p_up=0.4745

Commitment hash
22b339b74f79176c6b60377b0b5cdca1d4b3b2b96c545730650719386063078d
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
19:50:05
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.506 -0.6% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_k1qjB4eXVy9jc4REVnpWL3gm
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 19:50:05 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 20:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.28%
Down 49.72%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.1722 edge=0.0051 sigma_short=0.001386 sigma_long=0.001173 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5028

Commitment hash
b025ff65c2c5c651f3f3c2a0c1b490e6c3a8686b6f0bc7ebe5b4d1e18548cb96
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
19:50:00
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.510 -1.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_BzW1LX5PDjz5CJzMDOKAlqGM
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 19:50:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 20:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.51%
Down 49.49%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000057 sigma=0.001450 score=0.1722 p_up=0.5051

Commitment hash
43d878b75c7ff390c1e7363e1b1cc519aa66bbd624548812e2405d2acd7e240e