Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T20:30:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 20:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 20:50 UTC
Open price
$64,241.55
Close price
$64,254.80

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 64241.550000 and closed at 64254.800000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.9
Opens
Jun 13 · 20:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 20:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 20:50 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 19:45 ↑ 20:00 ↓ 20:15 ↓ 20:30 ↑ — now 20:45 ↑ 21:00 ↓ 21:15 ↑ 21:30 ↑ 21:45 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 20:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T20:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 20:50:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
20:20:02
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.502 -0.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zKd58baJDbpLiaLMwy92enrk
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 20:20:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 20:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.91%
Down 50.09%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.0521 edge=-0.0016 sigma_short=0.001299 sigma_long=0.001156 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4991

Commitment hash
1e02271d744091c6ba447e34041ad79e1c98419993597c3162072a53d6a80667
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
20:20:00
 Scored ↓ Down 50% 0.503 -0.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_PG178AgpDReXuAjZVeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 20:20:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 20:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.84%
Down 50.16%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000017 sigma=0.001434 score=-0.0521 p_up=0.4984

Commitment hash
3ad8e151faafdf4abc8b1c09e65e46dc28a017b499d1c6ae51745c2da75d950c
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
20:20:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.548 -4.8% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GCyklwW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 20:20:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 20:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.65%
Down 52.35%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64154.1435 sigma=114.2281 z=1.0548 p_up=0.4765

Commitment hash
9048af93821a73cbe5f987059aab42227ca6bc1ce84ddbd3483edb6df0185aea