Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T21:30:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 21:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 21:50 UTC
Open price
$64,244.52
Close price
$64,567.77

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 64244.520000 and closed at 64567.770000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 13 · 21:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 21:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 21:50 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 20:45 ↑ 21:00 ↓ 21:15 ↑ 21:30 ↑ — now 21:45 ↓ 22:00 ↓ 22:15 ↑ 22:30 ↑ 22:45 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 21:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T21:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 21:50:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
21:20:00
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.460 +4.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_Gl39jP8konj6s7YroOq1ve6N
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 21:20:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 21:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.02%
Down 47.98%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000214 sigma=0.001140 score=0.8166 p_up=0.5202

Commitment hash
2755af05abdcdc5fe9ccd22ec94ed0b38f4432e47a02b7cdbbce82129a0b3058
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
21:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.468 +3.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_dnazAerPwl9PcmaYVb97G5lM
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 21:20:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 21:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.62%
Down 48.38%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.8166 edge=0.0202 sigma_short=0.000791 sigma_long=0.001142 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5162

Commitment hash
3af92a02f6539122900fc0cf1743f4b22cc983e8ed5004b4ce70d633cc3c994f
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
21:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.539 -3.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_ElAm4R7KDW3EFK5aDWZjJOYy
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 21:20:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 21:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.1%
Down 51.9%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64158.4380 sigma=111.9021 z=0.7492 p_up=0.4810

Commitment hash
cf1afd2112b9fcc3b6512813a5a1fde3ddea759073bccfd35231a36a9cab28a7