Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T22:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 22:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 22:35 UTC
Open price
$64,421.99
Close price
$64,522.13

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 64421.990000 and closed at 64522.130000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.3
Opens
Jun 13 · 22:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 22:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 22:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 21:30 ↑ 21:45 ↓ 22:00 ↓ 22:15 ↑ — now 22:30 ↑ 22:45 ↓ 23:00 ↓ 23:15 ↑ 23:30 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 22:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T22:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 22:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
22:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.452 +4.8% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_05Xg9GbYV9ygTZY4VRELWApQ
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 22:05:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 22:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.46%
Down 47.54%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000415 sigma=0.001570 score=1.1531 p_up=0.5246

Commitment hash
ba42fc9aa96b7b7921adc56fa0d31cf4e9ac9f6d6e0ee8b9c9d295f487af2c76
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
22:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.473 +2.7% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_xpn3ZLedwX3YFXMror79GXqN
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 22:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 22:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.35%
Down 48.65%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.1531 edge=0.0246 sigma_short=0.001695 sigma_long=0.001386 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5135

Commitment hash
48e3db9b11dfed2af9aee6a3915dc561886ac59b7c02e3a89b2c14acb1da64a1
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
22:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.558 -5.8% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_L5Xdpj9Zw2Wgu9vaVzBAYvMJ
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 22:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 22:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.16%
Down 52.84%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64218.9250 sigma=140.1608 z=1.7988 p_up=0.4716

Commitment hash
ccec4d41e3d675a3d1990910ae3db394f6268169ec042bb00e641eb53aebcce4