Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T19:45:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 20:05 UTC
Open price
$64,290.90
Close price
$64,296.59

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 64290.900000 and closed at 64296.590000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
50%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 13 · 19:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 19:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 20:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 19:00 ↑ 19:15 ↓ 19:30 ↑ 19:45 ↑ — now 20:00 ↓ 20:15 ↓ 20:30 ↑ 20:45 ↑ 21:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 20:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T19:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 20:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
19:35:04
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.498 +0.2% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_W4QmKAe0wx4AS5YRwrg8JY5Z
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 19:35:04 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.11%
Down 49.89%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000011 sigma=0.001417 score=0.0352 p_up=0.5011

Commitment hash
97533ee8711dbc407545e1098dc608aebdfb8783456db62b98a25c7e618556d6
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
19:35:05
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.499 +0.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ZrAQgKBlDJnJHgQeD3j6Wdq1
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 19:35:05 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.06%
Down 49.94%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.0352 edge=0.0011 sigma_short=0.001411 sigma_long=0.001154 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5006

Commitment hash
b78ee25c23a9509aeb0a697ae4ceaa1d4ab48fbb0e1db7e134d62f469f91e888
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
19:35:05
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.526 -2.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_xYnBL4N1wZNysyxdw7kZGzPE
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 19:35:05 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 19:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.73%
Down 51.27%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64145.4495 sigma=106.9586 z=0.4534 p_up=0.4873

Commitment hash
95add8240b82b91c01b25346d56d147a3536c95aadb399ddd015e98643b26f3f