Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-14T02:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 02:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 02:35 UTC
Open price
$64,621.38
Close price
$64,539.99

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 64621.380000 and closed at 64539.990000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 14 · 02:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 14 · 02:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 02:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 01:30 ↓ 01:45 ↓ 02:00 ↑ 02:15 ↓ — now 02:30 ↓ 02:45 ↓ 03:00 ↑ 03:15 ↑ 03:30 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 02:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-14T02:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 02:35:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
02:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.462 +3.8% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_g7xznkbOwq29c0mOVmELRlWQ
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 02:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 02:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.09%
Down 51.91%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=64484.3040 sigma=104.4304 z=0.7536 p_up=0.4809

Commitment hash
eae31789378f4d547b89541d5b2418a7dcf8919bd5678410a51214a93728284c
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 14
02:05:08
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.533 -3.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_0MeQn9qmwgznCPxxoYl4kr65
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 02:05:08 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 02:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.62%
Down 48.38%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.8237 edge=0.0203 sigma_short=0.000773 sigma_long=0.001377 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5162

Commitment hash
38a2aa6e2cb7e843cdc537f53601a1f2f132735970b87f5473329941de504f4a
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 14
02:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.541 -4.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_0ZYdGLNvozOETOErw4nX59rO
Submitted Jun 14, 2026 · 02:05:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-14 02:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.03%
Down 47.97%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000262 sigma=0.001387 score=0.8237 p_up=0.5203

Commitment hash
61cd56879ed8e9fe849d49a3ebb46e8cc926a305ec5301eb5c768ec50cc83165