Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T07:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 07:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 07:20 UTC
Open price
$65,812.01
Close price
$65,816.57

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 65812.010000 and closed at 65816.570000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 15 · 06:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 07:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 07:20 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 06:15 ↑ 06:30 ↓ 06:45 ↑ 07:00 ↑ — now 07:15 ↑ 07:30 ↓ 07:45 ↓ 08:00 ↑ 08:15 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 07:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T07:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 07:20:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
06:50:00
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.469 +3.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_Gl39jP8konj6sm9voOq1ve6N
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 06:50:00 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 07:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.57%
Down 48.43%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000230 sigma=0.001725 score=0.5812 p_up=0.5157

Commitment hash
bec5cdcbe6b9f614d71bb6a6ca5074533924f3326ac65389a5ed66a5127804ef
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
06:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.475 +2.5% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_0ZYdGLNvozOETd2pw4nX59rO
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 06:50:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 07:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.26%
Down 48.74%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.5812 edge=0.0157 sigma_short=0.001306 sigma_long=0.002784 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5126

Commitment hash
d917a7ab2ff942471e9608ea94ff575451e9979198b0fccecb0cd62bdbd108ab
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
06:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.533 -3.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_ElAm4R7KDW3EF8j8DWZjJOYy
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 06:50:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 07:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.37%
Down 51.63%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=65733.5205 sigma=128.8938 z=0.6089 p_up=0.4837

Commitment hash
98102a39004ac4f9e899a7bbc074524b32d82df6500bc60399570852b2eabc6e