Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-15T08:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 15 · 08:20 UTC
Open price
$65,674.76
Close price
$65,732.00

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 65674.760000 and closed at 65732.000000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+1.0
Opens
Jun 15 · 07:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 15 · 08:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 15 · 08:20 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 07:15 ↑ 07:30 ↓ 07:45 ↓ 08:00 ↑ — now 08:15 ↓ 08:30 ↑ 08:45 ↓ 09:00 ↑ 09:15 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-15 08:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-15T08:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 15 · 08:20:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
07:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.472 +2.8% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ax15qGLZwk7ZHq3bwrO7n9zR
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 07:50:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.44%
Down 48.56%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000221 sigma=0.001837 score=0.5236 p_up=0.5144

Commitment hash
e50455f8e08db3b11f710c9be40193f1de9af278a551702247b75f85ceae73b8
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 15
07:50:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.483 +1.7% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_j65YM2E8odpri4APoPrz3bWe
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 07:50:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.85%
Down 49.15%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=65780.7255 sigma=115.3729 z=-0.2910 p_up=0.5085

Commitment hash
3d69d3f6e57d5ed3f7e0a7d1786fccf40ef1286b2b7120df6fdc2a3b2ad97510
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 15
07:50:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.484 +1.6% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_Gl39jP8konj6smLvoOq1ve6N
Submitted Jun 15, 2026 · 07:50:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.79%
Down 49.21%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.5236 edge=0.0144 sigma_short=0.001756 sigma_long=0.002079 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5079

Commitment hash
d3cc26e4d492447a3f1198453a96830edb1226b0db90040c0ac0d5e0ae253ae3