Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T07:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 07:00 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 07:20 UTC
Open price
$66,446.01
Close price
$66,348.32

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 66446.010000 and closed at 66348.320000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.8
Opens
Jun 16 · 06:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 07:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 07:20 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 06:15 ↑ 06:30 ↑ 06:45 ↑ 07:00 ↓ — now 07:15 ↓ 07:30 ↓ 07:45 ↑ 08:00 ↑ 08:15 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 07:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T07:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 07:20:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
06:50:02
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.444 +5.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zq7L80nkoMp4iazzDEjaK1Zl
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 06:50:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 07:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.13%
Down 52.87%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=66045.4325 sigma=184.5990 z=1.9127 p_up=0.4713

Commitment hash
ee2364af1ae23a49e4c94015cb616403d8de046cbb19bf5a699f56a00fc7aea9
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
06:50:02
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.503 -0.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zgjx25nXwLnpHG7kDOd0yZq1
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 06:50:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 07:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.14%
Down 49.86%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.0846 edge=0.0025 sigma_short=0.001658 sigma_long=0.001794 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5014

Commitment hash
6df6bd2ec60bf029d091c8b9ac52e660de2dd78183fd5dc1d113d5bd0eca91b8
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
06:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.505 -0.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_dnazAerPwl9PcKq3Vb97G5lM
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 06:50:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 07:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.25%
Down 49.75%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000041 sigma=0.002125 score=0.0846 p_up=0.5025

Commitment hash
3cdd3e9c262944432af1821368989439554ed26434b266b079da9b7e4dca8d98