Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:15m:2026-06-16T07:15:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 07:15 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 16 · 07:35 UTC
Open price
$66,348.32
Close price
$66,338.01

Binance BTCUSDT 15m candle opened at 66348.320000 and closed at 66338.010000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.1
Opens
Jun 16 · 07:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 16 · 07:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 16 · 07:35 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Series 06:30 ↑ 06:45 ↑ 07:00 ↓ 07:15 ↓ — now 07:30 ↓ 07:45 ↑ 08:00 ↑ 08:15 ↑ 08:30 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-16 07:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-16T07:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 16 · 07:35:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
07:05:02
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.444 +5.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_KNxe1m9koa6GCqP1wW628Xz0
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 07:05:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 07:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.1%
Down 52.9%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=66050.4065 sigma=193.7578 z=2.0417 p_up=0.4710

Commitment hash
1653616f5c17b21ea5e3f77cfdbe850e933b8b4f0b89e6eeabb067119320fce4
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 16
07:05:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.530 -3.0% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zKd58baJDbpLixEawy92enrk
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 07:05:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 07:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.46%
Down 48.54%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.7050 edge=0.0182 sigma_short=0.001332 sigma_long=0.001791 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5146

Commitment hash
1c793e1baccafe49c15ba75a889acfbdb7574b906190369ac637f48a5c7229a2
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 16
07:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.537 -3.7% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_PG178AgpDReXuRmPVeYNrJRd
Submitted Jun 16, 2026 · 07:05:01 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-16 07:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.82%
Down 48.18%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000303 sigma=0.001871 score=0.7050 p_up=0.5182

Commitment hash
e2d579104c95574f02b5fe5b40e189bbf01e4015ad13f1d69684b957bde7d553