Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-09T12:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-09 12:00 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 9 · 13:05 UTC
Open price
$62,711.12
Close price
$62,645.15

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 62711.120000 and closed at 62645.150000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.6
Opens
Jun 9 · 11:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 9 · 12:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 9 · 13:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 09:00 ↓ 10:00 ↑ 11:00 ↓ 12:00 ↓ — now 13:00 ↓ 14:00 ↓ 15:00 ↓ 16:00 ↑ 17:00 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-09 13:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-09T12:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 9 · 13:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 9
11:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.455 +4.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_9EjpnQAKwO3OF5nEw5zX1eW6
Submitted Jun 9, 2026 · 11:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-09 12:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.69%
Down 52.31%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000822 sigma=0.003508 score=-1.0215 p_up=0.4769

Commitment hash
e21371c78f14e1cc1ea8df00babc5da4ee24880e0dd7efca58a7620d1e93b9ad
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 9
11:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.464 +3.6% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_Q6El9GNLw7xgslOBVRbZJ37v
Submitted Jun 9, 2026 · 11:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-09 12:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.15%
Down 51.85%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-1.0215 edge=-0.0231 sigma_short=0.002958 sigma_long=0.005289 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4815

Commitment hash
2156755d77409bb25d0c8cb00612cde4086ba81ed88c132820e6612885953930
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 9
11:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.551 -5.1% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_j2yMmAnQo01giNBOw1W4pqGx
Submitted Jun 9, 2026 · 11:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-09 12:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.47%
Down 47.53%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63196.7785 sigma=351.2884 z=-1.1693 p_up=0.5247

Commitment hash
167cdd669f5eea34075180f464e9fc66bd803c2f088ad0fd91f1194073e7b730