Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-10T00:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 00:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 10 · 01:05 UTC
Open price
$61,730.00
Close price
$61,923.16

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 61730.000000 and closed at 61923.160000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.3
Opens
Jun 9 · 23:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 10 · 00:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 10 · 01:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 21:00 ↓ 22:00 ↓ 23:00 ↑ 00:00 ↑ — now 01:00 ↓ 02:00 ↓ 03:00 ↑ 04:00 ↓ 05:00 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-10 01:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-10T00:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 10 · 01:05:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 9
23:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.457 +4.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_MLpmeG97DG45S3zvolrWdgjb
Submitted Jun 9, 2026 · 23:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 00:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.22%
Down 47.78%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=62361.0385 sigma=675.0667 z=-0.9533 p_up=0.5222

Commitment hash
f93e2ccf78f964f379767ebec4964167bae78a307f6c791a25d729f4287cc16a
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 9
23:35:03
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.516 -1.6% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_ax15qGLZwk7ZHNrYwrO7n9zR
Submitted Jun 9, 2026 · 23:35:03 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 00:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.23%
Down 50.77%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.9392 edge=-0.0220 sigma_short=0.005562 sigma_long=0.004310 w=0.3500 p_up=0.4923

Commitment hash
100d45750bf1e1a5f00c43e0b3110030b5db3b840d44cabba485ec33da1a98b8
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 9
23:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.545 -4.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_A2vnyR7GwK96cONzDZbz3kL6
Submitted Jun 9, 2026 · 23:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 00:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.8%
Down 52.2%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000978 sigma=0.004540 score=-0.9392 p_up=0.4780

Commitment hash
3c90331e76a9c6faf4783c2ef912a302904b82970b43973a25dede08dfd330a5