Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-10T10:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 10:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 10 · 11:05 UTC
Open price
$61,334.95
Close price
$61,386.09

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 61334.950000 and closed at 61386.090000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.2
Opens
Jun 10 · 09:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 10 · 10:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 10 · 11:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 07:00 ↑ 08:00 ↓ 09:00 ↑ 10:00 ↑ — now 11:00 ↓ 12:00 ↑ 13:00 ↑ 14:00 ↑ 15:00 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-10 11:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-10T10:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 10 · 11:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 10
09:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.450 +5.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zgjx25nXwLnpHq6QDOd0yZq1
Submitted Jun 10, 2026 · 09:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 10:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.55%
Down 47.45%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=61642.8520 sigma=303.6084 z=-1.2559 p_up=0.5255

Commitment hash
a2e67f5508f907e06876d3f7b2cd6dd38fa7e74dd5d3fcb55ae3d2e9fe39b2e8
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 10
09:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.522 -2.2% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_673nmr8ZwrGOhaNJV1ePEqxB
Submitted Jun 10, 2026 · 09:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 10:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.93%
Down 51.07%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.7759 edge=-0.0195 sigma_short=0.003980 sigma_long=0.004175 w=0.5500 p_up=0.4893

Commitment hash
e74af46c47bf86473d5f748082dab0d63dd968c8b2aec79455e93f209662c9c6
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 10
09:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.540 -4.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_zq7L80nkoMp4iWvPDEjaK1Zl
Submitted Jun 10, 2026 · 09:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 10:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 48.05%
Down 51.95%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000862 sigma=0.004845 score=-0.7759 p_up=0.4805

Commitment hash
14f1ebed2f30a414090d4733d55cccf0387c263cea33d41977ada8db832c3ac4