Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-10T15:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 15:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 10 · 16:05 UTC
Open price
$62,195.99
Close price
$62,639.23

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 62195.990000 and closed at 62639.230000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 10 · 14:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 10 · 15:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 10 · 16:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 12:00 ↑ 13:00 ↑ 14:00 ↑ 15:00 ↑ — now 16:00 ↓ 17:00 ↓ 18:00 ↓ 19:00 ↑ 20:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-10 16:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-10T15:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 10 · 16:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 10
14:35:03
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.484 +1.6% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_dnazAerPwl9PcBQzVb97G5lM
Submitted Jun 10, 2026 · 14:35:03 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 15:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.81%
Down 49.19%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000301 sigma=0.004747 score=0.2764 p_up=0.5081

Commitment hash
88968b0ebfe449c9f4b9a98366c807e0b495a13081fe782a8a42b9a4f6020196
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 10
14:35:04
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.491 +0.9% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_zgjx25nXwLnpHdWdDOd0yZq1
Submitted Jun 10, 2026 · 14:35:04 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 15:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.44%
Down 49.56%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.2764 edge=0.0081 sigma_short=0.005205 sigma_long=0.004720 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5044

Commitment hash
a0206768bba21a4d8e544722658bdef97b05b9bd3efc64e79f564525df08f012
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 10
14:35:04
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.558 -5.8% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zq7L80nkoMp4i2gxDEjaK1Zl
Submitted Jun 10, 2026 · 14:35:04 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 15:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.18%
Down 52.82%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=61614.6310 sigma=306.8839 z=1.7329 p_up=0.4718

Commitment hash
9c57566e257db6ae8a51fa703573534f4f6114d327ebb5bfd8515543014f5185