Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-10T18:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 18:00 UTC

Final outcome
↓
Down
Resolved from Binance at Jun 10 · 19:05 UTC
Open price
$61,969.99
Close price
$61,882.00

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 61969.990000 and closed at 61882.000000, so this market resolved down.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 10 · 17:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 10 · 18:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 10 · 19:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 15:00 ↑ 16:00 ↓ 17:00 ↓ 18:00 ↓ — now 19:00 ↑ 20:00 ↓ 21:00 ↓ 22:00 ↑ 23:00 ↑
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-10 19:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-10T18:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 10 · 19:05:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 10
17:35:04
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.448 +5.2% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_05Xg9GbYV9ygTg8pVRELWApQ
Submitted Jun 10, 2026 · 17:35:04 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 18:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.33%
Down 52.67%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=61664.8535 sigma=388.8398 z=1.4260 p_up=0.4733

Commitment hash
0b5157216d639efb4bbd9f5807ae8acc9e47678a33970295f7c61c895a259f9b
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 10
17:35:04
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.511 -1.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_L5Xdpj9Zw2WguBkkVzBAYvMJ
Submitted Jun 10, 2026 · 17:35:04 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 18:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.55%
Down 49.45%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.3459 edge=0.0100 sigma_short=0.005835 sigma_long=0.004693 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5055

Commitment hash
34efeb3b672abcfd0d7d707d4051ee5217ca83559fb428f30122e05cb25fe36a
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 10
17:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.520 -2.0% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_mYpKb1MNDpy4TxMao7Ak4L2e
Submitted Jun 10, 2026 · 17:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-10 18:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.0%
Down 49.0%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000389 sigma=0.004901 score=0.3459 p_up=0.5100

Commitment hash
2a95259ab7774cb05e9dc45a15dfeac3279782bcf5711121a79c4ecd516b5a3d