Crypto Resolved Hourly Binance BTC/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:BTCUSDT:1h:2026-06-13T23:00:00Z
Bitcoin

BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 14 · 00:05 UTC
Open price
$64,456.46
Close price
$64,458.01

Binance BTCUSDT 1h candle opened at 64456.460000 and closed at 64458.010000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up51%
49%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
53%
Difference from baseline
+0.7
Opens
Jun 13 · 22:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 23:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 14 · 00:05 UTC
Source
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Series 20:00 ↓ 21:00 ↑ 22:00 ↓ 23:00 ↑ — now 00:00 ↑ 01:00 ↓ 02:00 ↓ 03:00 ↑ 04:00 ↓
Rules
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance
Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle
Binance · 1h candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-14 00:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance BTC/USDT 1h candle beginning at 2026-06-13T23:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 14 · 00:05:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
22:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.446 +5.4% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_apB6lzPrV3mgtlByoXAeKd4v
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 22:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.77%
Down 47.23%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000678 sigma=0.001838 score=1.6077 p_up=0.5277

Commitment hash
772c81fc209e7ad916290732056e0340b1cb9a92b1f5b146a99ee344f4bfe669
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
22:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.457 +4.3% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_4BXNaeEbo16gCZAJwkOy0xjq
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 22:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.21%
Down 47.79%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.6077 edge=0.0277 sigma_short=0.002139 sigma_long=0.003407 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5221

Commitment hash
ea1d87006c281f14c554d35a722a17247860178b8c754b8eede8a8ae06e57a68
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
22:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.559 -5.9% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_40Q536YODN09HqeqwRWvqpr8
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 22:35:02 UTC
BTC Up or Down - 2026-06-13 23:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.14%
Down 52.86%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=63958.9945 sigma=276.0763 z=1.8547 p_up=0.4714

Commitment hash
c261ca34381a05826e1dd304824fe0041b9bb4438d78a25ae22e48ef9509df86