Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-12T10:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 10:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 12 · 10:50 UTC
Open price
$1,673.01
Close price
$1,675.00

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1673.010000 and closed at 1675.000000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.1
Opens
Jun 12 · 10:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 12 · 10:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 12 · 10:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 09:45 ↓ 10:00 ↓ 10:15 ↓ 10:30 ↑ — now 10:45 ↓ 11:00 ↑ 11:15 ↓ 11:30 ↓ 11:45 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-12 10:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-12T10:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 12 · 10:50:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
10:20:00
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.462 +3.8% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_ZrAQgKBlDJnJH693D3j6Wdq1
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 10:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 10:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.93%
Down 48.07%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000345 sigma=0.001968 score=0.7638 p_up=0.5193

Commitment hash
fa8d46b4374f90e5faf642edd1a30444ff8455f69d673645cf6beb556bc63be3
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 12
10:20:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.479 +2.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_05Xg9GbYV9ygTga6VRELWApQ
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 10:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 10:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.06%
Down 48.94%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.7638 edge=0.0193 sigma_short=0.001969 sigma_long=0.002214 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5106

Commitment hash
f943a5612d31e37f6ebdacd65dde51465285aa6e2afb9b817280a35de70c3a92
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 12
10:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.554 -5.4% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_mYpKb1MNDpy4TxXdo7Ak4L2e
Submitted Jun 12, 2026 · 10:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-12 10:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.36%
Down 52.64%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1667.8180 sigma=8.5716 z=1.3780 p_up=0.4736

Commitment hash
eff4e8312eefc870bbf9c6571e526a91c728c9ba1458d499abf18fc1e12d0f21