Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T01:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 02:05 UTC
Open price
$1,672.75
Close price
$1,674.03

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1672.750000 and closed at 1674.030000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.3
Opens
Jun 13 · 01:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 01:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 02:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 01:00 ↑ 01:15 ↓ 01:30 ↑ 01:45 ↑ — now 02:00 ↓ 02:15 ↓ 02:30 ↓ 02:45 ↑ 03:00 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 02:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T01:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 02:05:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
01:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.482 +1.8% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_l4L0eAk2wAAgTNmpwg3aqryB
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 01:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.92%
Down 49.08%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000063 sigma=0.000860 score=0.3167 p_up=0.5092

Commitment hash
672f69e1740f5cf5f2a9459d4b568d259592354ae74507f2cafd7fac4ead962c
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
01:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.485 +1.5% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_G7zbNOMWVvp7ia0YoE9P1vBd
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 01:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.74%
Down 49.26%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.3167 edge=0.0092 sigma_short=0.000832 sigma_long=0.002130 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5074

Commitment hash
4baafe24be09dcca52931f7e02cf7b9de204d78345887fe4ddb7c47134ca6d46
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
01:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.553 -5.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_904kZMgdDE6gCXN3oBnQaqEe
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 01:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.43%
Down 52.57%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1665.3550 sigma=2.1432 z=1.2761 p_up=0.4743

Commitment hash
e7bfc22827e998b5f126f51bd55c341719faa16a727ce96098be9230ad8e8967