Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T01:00:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:00 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 01:20 UTC
Open price
$1,667.47
Close price
$1,668.84

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1667.470000 and closed at 1668.840000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 13 · 00:45 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 01:00 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 01:20 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 00:15 ↓ 00:30 ↑ 00:45 ↑ 01:00 ↑ — now 01:15 ↓ 01:30 ↑ 01:45 ↑ 02:00 ↓ 02:15 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 01:20 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T01:00:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 01:20:02 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
00:50:00
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.491 +0.9% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_zq7L80nkoMp4ie8XDEjaK1Zl
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 00:50:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.47%
Down 49.53%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000032 sigma=0.000876 score=0.1587 p_up=0.5047

Commitment hash
2689f4e71ab164da8112b2fe02f7c26652be54e9eac56666ccca331022981045
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
00:50:01
 Scored ↑ Up 50% 0.492 +0.8% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_673nmr8ZwrGOh0Z8V1ePEqxB
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 00:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 50.38%
Down 49.62%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=0.1587 edge=0.0047 sigma_short=0.000979 sigma_long=0.002783 w=0.8000 p_up=0.5038

Commitment hash
eefbdf982f925964459e471e2400c4c9c176706c765ca00a0c65a00a9cf65947
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
00:50:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.545 -4.5% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_zgjx25nXwLnpHmLLDOd0yZq1
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 00:50:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 01:00 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.79%
Down 52.21%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1665.1260 sigma=1.9078 z=0.9456 p_up=0.4779

Commitment hash
717045102e2fd132c18f87864f6e617542105bc90840eb32539916b8037a0699