Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T00:30:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 00:30 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 00:50 UTC
Open price
$1,666.63
Close price
$1,666.93

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1666.630000 and closed at 1666.930000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up49%
51%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
51%
Difference from baseline
+1.3
Opens
Jun 13 · 00:15 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 00:30 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 00:50 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 23:45 ↑ 00:00 ↑ 00:15 ↓ 00:30 ↑ — now 00:45 ↑ 01:00 ↑ 01:15 ↓ 01:30 ↑ 01:45 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 00:50 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T00:30:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 00:50:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
00:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.511 -1.1% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_rQLBEm5WoP72HkJPD9za01Y4
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 00:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 00:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.46%
Down 50.54%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=-0.2268 edge=-0.0067 sigma_short=0.001002 sigma_long=0.002813 w=0.8000 p_up=0.4946

Commitment hash
e4095d5a8e38ebf0d20f0001cf091d98283cdd030423f0ab2fae352b67f6500a
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
00:20:00
 Scored ↓ Down 51% 0.513 -1.3% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_WzKkexj7we4xSx9nopr9mNPa
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 00:20:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 00:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 49.33%
Down 50.67%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=-0.000050 sigma=0.000952 score=-0.2268 p_up=0.4933

Commitment hash
93920af7e18c59a1a3469d0245c13fafde95e44a4a1938323566153d6de8f570
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
00:20:01
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.553 -5.3% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_7B6ErGaLD5OgTR9Gw5ylJzve
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 00:20:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 00:30 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.42%
Down 52.58%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1665.2520 sigma=2.1022 z=1.2882 p_up=0.4742

Commitment hash
68134e9cb4005037599227c2233ba1eda24ab3b8e83e33514735726af5d71c5a