Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T15:15:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:15 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 15:35 UTC
Open price
$1,681.17
Close price
$1,683.31

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1681.170000 and closed at 1683.310000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.5
Opens
Jun 13 · 15:00 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 15:15 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 15:35 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 14:30 ↑ 14:45 ↑ 15:00 ↑ 15:15 ↑ — now 15:30 ↓ 15:45 ↑ 16:00 ↓ 16:15 ↓ 16:30 ↑
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 15:35 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T15:15:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 15:35:01 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
15:05:00
 Scored ↑ Up 52% 0.455 +4.5% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_0MeQn9qmwgznCPjkoYl4kr65
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 15:05:00 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.33%
Down 47.67%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000195 sigma=0.000820 score=1.0345 p_up=0.5233

Commitment hash
2d5f5092e5a0ed8b60c2c7b6df90f80ee9e3db6ef59a7d84daac090a8ea5f999
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
15:05:01
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.475 +2.5% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_7B6ErGaLD5OgTR4jw5ylJzve
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 15:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.28%
Down 48.72%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.0345 edge=0.0233 sigma_short=0.000823 sigma_long=0.000837 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5128

Commitment hash
45a131b68943c9578c34d04b84309fa1a4738270fe39af5a88ec519f56497dc0
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
15:05:01
 Scored ↓ Down 52% 0.546 -4.6% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_WzKkexj7we4xSx5bopr9mNPa
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 15:05:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:15 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.76%
Down 52.24%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1677.8705 sigma=2.1670 z=0.9689 p_up=0.4776

Commitment hash
9510ac1577a9b4ab646d5b2812050e7e4a4359fd0ea46468ee619b0f3be65219