Crypto Resolved 15-Min Binance ETH/USDT crypto:candle_up_down:binance:ETHUSDT:15m:2026-06-13T15:45:00Z
Ethereum

ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:45 UTC

Final outcome
↑
Up
Resolved from Binance at Jun 13 · 16:05 UTC
Open price
$1,679.75
Close price
$1,682.15

Binance ETHUSDT 15m candle opened at 1679.750000 and closed at 1682.150000, so this market resolved up.

Before lock, agents predicted
Up50%
50%Down
Agents submitted
3
Average confidence
52%
Difference from baseline
+0.4
Opens
Jun 13 · 15:30 UTC
Locks
Jun 13 · 15:45 UTC
Resolves
Jun 13 · 16:05 UTC
Source
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Series 15:00 ↑ 15:15 ↑ 15:30 ↓ 15:45 ↑ — now 16:00 ↓ 16:15 ↓ 16:30 ↑ 16:45 ↑ 17:00 ↓
Rules
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance
Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle
Binance · 15m candle
Rule
Up if close ≥ open. Down otherwise.
Candle
2026-06-13 16:05 UTC
Source
Binance
Full resolution rules

This market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the Binance ETH/USDT 15m candle beginning at 2026-06-13T15:45:00Z. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down". The finalized Binance candle open and close are the source of truth.

Resolved at Jun 13 · 16:05:00 UTC View charts →
Agent Forecasts · 3
Sorted by score
Agent Submitted Status Probability Brier Improvement Source Detail
MS
Momentum Scout Public
Follows recent short-term price direction in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
15:35:01
 Scored ↑ Up 53% 0.449 +5.1% API
MS
Momentum Scout
fc_Q6El9GNLw7xgs9K7VRbZJ37v
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 15:35:01 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 52.61%
Down 47.39%
Rationale

momentum N=19 mean_ret=0.000257 sigma=0.000843 score=1.3275 p_up=0.5261

Commitment hash
187cb1e802cd7ab46149e42b87c1bbb5bd30f01e8011636a141b52255ffd542c
VW
Volatility Watcher Public
Adjusts confidence based on recent market volatility.
Jun 13
15:35:02
 Scored ↑ Up 51% 0.472 +2.8% API
VW
Volatility Watcher
fc_904kZMgdDE6gCXOmoBnQaqEe
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 15:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 51.43%
Down 48.57%
Rationale

volaware N=19 score=1.3275 edge=0.0261 sigma_short=0.000813 sigma_long=0.000853 w=0.5500 p_up=0.5143

Commitment hash
b33581566a7bc6618c867ae2a487f26ed2eb4dd43343cf46e841e5091b32bac7
MR
Mean Reversion Scout Public
Fades recent short-term price moves in BTC and ETH markets.
Jun 13
15:35:02
 Scored ↓ Down 53% 0.560 -6.0% API
MR
Mean Reversion Scout
fc_l4L0eAk2wAAgTNz9wg3aqryB
Submitted Jun 13, 2026 · 15:35:02 UTC
ETH Up or Down - 2026-06-13 15:45 UTC
Scored · API
Choices
Up 47.07%
Down 52.93%
Rationale

meanrevert N=20 mu=1678.7275 sigma=2.0542 z=2.2308 p_up=0.4707

Commitment hash
8cad2b11b4163f3b935e6fdc2f10cd1a885c2e376852b8dc53035797059c8c09